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Understanding crypto hedge fund returns

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6 Feb 2026

Institutional investors should approach crypto hedge funds with a measured allocation aligned to their risk budgets, argues Tommaso Mancuso.

Institutional investors should approach crypto hedge funds with a measured allocation aligned to their risk budgets, argues Tommaso Mancuso.

In the 1990s, hedge funds thrived by exploiting inefficiencies in equities, convertible bonds and derivatives until transparency and competition eroded alpha.

Crypto markets are at a similar inflection point, but with one crucial difference: today’s managers can bring decades of experience to a nascent asset class.

Despite rapid growth and rising institutional interest, crypto markets remain in their adolescence. They are far less efficient than traditional financial markets.

Fragmented liquidity across exchanges and high volatility create structural pricing gaps. These inefficiencies offer fertile ground for sophisticated managers to generate strong risk-adjusted returns – conditions reminiscent of hedge funds’ early days.

Consider the classic cash-and-carry trade. By buying Solana on the spot market and shorting its perpetual futures, managers can lock in an annualised yield of 8-12%. The position is market-neutral: it does not bet on price direction but exploits the gap between spot and futures pricing.

Yet it is not without risk: leverage, counterparty exposure and mark-to-market volatility demand rigorous oversight. 

Digital assets share another distinctive trait: returns skew to the upside and exhibit fat tails – extreme moves occur more often than expected. Limited institutional participation amplifies these dynamics, creating markets where big trends emerge suddenly.

For trend-following managers, this is fertile ground. These strategies thrive on outsized moves, which helps explain why their performance in crypto has far outpaced similar approaches in traditional markets.

Institutional investors should consider incorporating crypto hedge funds into their portfolios as a complementary component of their alternatives allocation.

These funds offer access to non-directional strategies that exploit structural inefficiencies in crypto markets, such as market fragmentation, funding dislocations, and evolving infrastructure.

Unlike traditional hedge funds, crypto hedge funds provide differentiated alpha and uncorrelated absolute returns, making them a valuable addition to a diversified portfolio.

By focusing on strategies like market-neutral arbitrage, relative-value trades, and yield-oriented approaches, these funds minimize sensitivity to price direction and deliver consistent performance, even during periods of market stress.

To maximize the benefits, institutional investors should approach crypto hedge funds with a measured allocation aligned to their risk budgets. Pilot allocations can be used to observe performance across various market conditions before scaling exposure.

Governance and risk management are critical, as crypto markets present unique operational and counterparty risks. Institutional-grade platforms, such as 3iQ’s QMAP, offer robust controls, transparency, and active monitoring to mitigate these risks.

By adopting a disciplined approach and leveraging diversified strategies, institutional investors can capture the multi-year window of attractive risk-adjusted returns currently available in crypto markets while maintaining alignment with long-term portfolio objectives.

The takeaway? These returns are real. They reflect a market still in its formative stage, where inefficiencies create outsized opportunities.

History tells us such conditions won’t last forever; they will narrow as the market matures.

But for now, they reward those willing to act early.

Tommaso Mancuso is global head of investments at 3iQ.

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